Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.002437 0.002581 0.002735 0.002913 0.003114 0.003336 0.003602
2025-04-27 0.002224 0.002421 0.002644 0.002917 0.003248 0.003645 0.004170
2025-05-04 0.002116 0.002354 0.002634 0.002996 0.003465 0.004073 0.004964
2025-05-11 0.001998 0.002257 0.002571 0.002994 0.003570 0.004368 0.005652
2025-05-18 0.001944 0.002228 0.002585 0.003083 0.003800 0.004872 0.006811
2025-05-25 0.001857 0.002150 0.002524 0.003062 0.003866 0.005139 0.007676
2025-06-01 0.001769 0.002062 0.002443 0.003002 0.003863 0.005290 0.008382
2025-06-08 0.001736 0.002044 0.002452 0.003069 0.004062 0.005826 0.010234
2025-06-15 0.001699 0.002017 0.002446 0.003111 0.004224 0.006339 0.012489
2025-06-22 0.001640 0.001956 0.002387 0.003065 0.004229 0.006538 0.014024
2025-06-29 0.001582 0.001894 0.002324 0.003008 0.004205 0.006668 0.015504
2025-07-06 0.001536 0.001846 0.002277 0.002972 0.004215 0.006880 0.017693
2025-07-13 0.001452 0.001745 0.002151 0.002806 0.003975 0.006475 0.016523
2025-07-20 0.001418 0.001713 0.002126 0.002804 0.004048 0.006857 0.020490
2025-07-27 0.001407 0.001711 0.002145 0.002875 0.004273 0.007726 0.032435
2025-08-03 0.001377 0.001682 0.002122 0.002873 0.004350 0.008224 0.047987
2025-08-10 0.001370 0.001685 0.002147 0.002955 0.004621 0.009491 0.191209
2025-08-17 0.001339 0.001653 0.002116 0.002935 0.004661 0.009999 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001303 0.001611 0.002068 0.002880 0.004613 0.010148 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001294 0.001610 0.002082 0.002942 0.004853 0.011701 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001281 0.001600 0.002084 0.002980 0.005044 0.013295 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001253 0.001567 0.002046 0.002938 0.005020 0.013704 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001223 0.001532 0.002003 0.002885 0.004960 0.013872 NaN